# Adjacent News

Adjacent is an indexing and benchmarking company for prediction markets and event contracts.

- Canonical URL: https://adjacent.markets/indices/govd
- Public data API (no auth, CORS-open, 15-min delayed): https://api.adjacent.markets/api/v1/public
- MCP server (Streamable HTTP): https://mcp.adjacent.markets/mcp (docs: https://docs.adjacent.markets/explore/mcp ; skill: /.well-known/agent-skills/use-mcp/SKILL.md)
- API docs (machine-readable, Mintlify): https://docs.adjacent.markets/llms.txt
- Agent skills index: https://adjacent.markets/.well-known/agent-skills/index.json
- API catalog: https://adjacent.markets/.well-known/api-catalog
- Sitemap: https://adjacent.markets/sitemap.xml

## Gubernatorial (D) (govd)

> **Reading the value.** Probability-based Adjacent political indices publish on a **50–150 index scale**, not a 0–100 probability and not a dollar price. **100 is the neutral baseline** (the index party's aggregate win-probability across its tracked races is 50%). Each point above or below 100 is one percentage point of win-probability, so **value − 50 = implied win-probability %** (109 ≈ 59%, 95 ≈ 45%, 130 ≈ 80%). The scale runs 50 (0%) to 150 (100%), so an outcome is only "near-certain" as the value approaches 150 (or 50). **RED** tracks Republican strength and **BLUE** tracks Democratic strength; a value above 100 means that index's party is favored across its races.

- Latest value: **107.81** on the 50–150 scale (as of 2026-09-05)
- Daily history: /api/v1/public/indices/govd_kalshi/prices?interval=1day (89 points)
- Intraday series: /api/v1/public/indices/govd_kalshi/prices?interval={1min|5min|1hour|1day}
- Constituents: /api/v1/public/indices/govd_kalshi/constituents?expand=markets
- Auth: none, a public CORS-open snapshot tier.

### Expanded leaf-market constituents (49)

Constituent "Last price" is each market's Yes probability (0–100%), not the index's 50–150 value.

| Ticker | Weight | Last price |
|---|---:|---:|
| GOVPARTYTX-26-D | 5.56% | 18.00% |
| GOVPARTYCA-26-D | 4.89% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYOH-26-D | 4.86% | 58.00% |
| GOVPARTYFL-26-D | 3.86% | 20.00% |
| GOVPARTYNY-26-D | 3.67% | 94.00% |
| GOVPARTYWI-26-D | 3.62% | 79.00% |
| GOVPARTYNV-26-D | 3.61% | 42.00% |
| GOVPARTYGA-26-D | 3.27% | 57.00% |
| GOVPARTYAZ-26-D | 3.15% | 87.00% |
| GOVPARTYIA-26-D | 2.99% | 77.00% |
| GOVPARTYPA-26-D | 2.63% | 97.00% |
| GOVPARTYIL-26-D | 2.54% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYMN-26-D | 2.48% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYMI-26-D | 2.39% | 92.00% |
| GOVPARTYOK-26-D | 2.16% | 8.00% |
| GOVPARTYMA-26-D | 2.14% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYCO-26-D | 2.08% | 95.00% |
| GOVPARTYAL-26-D | 2.06% | 10.00% |
| GOVPARTYTN-26-D | 2.03% | 5.00% |
| GOVPARTYOR-26-D | 2.01% | 87.00% |
| KXGOVPARTYAK-26-D | 1.95% | 67.00% |
| GOVPARTYSC-26-D | 1.95% | 7.00% |
| GOVPARTYMD-26-D | 1.94% | 94.00% |
| GOVPARTYCT-26-D | 1.86% | 95.00% |
| GOVPARTYNE-26-D | 1.81% | 9.00% |
| GOVPARTYNM-26-D | 1.79% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYME-26-D | 1.79% | 96.00% |
| GOVPARTYAR-26-D | 1.78% | 5.00% |
| GOVPARTYVT-26-D | 1.76% | 8.00% |
| GOVPARTYKS-27-D | 1.73% | 34.00% |
| GOVPARTYID-26-D | 1.72% | 4.00% |
| GOVPARTYHI-26-D | 1.72% | 98.00% |
| GOVPARTYRI-26-D | 1.71% | 94.00% |
| GOVPARTYSD-26-D | 1.68% | 5.00% |
| GOVPARTYWY-26-D | 1.65% | 1.00% |
| GOVPARTYKY-27-D | 1.32% | 15.00% |
| GOVPARTYLA-27-D | 1.26% | 10.00% |
| GOVPARTYMS-27-D | 1.20% | 8.00% |
| GOVPARTYNC-28-D | 1.02% | 64.00% |
| GOVPARTYWA-28-D | 0.89% | 91.00% |
| GOVPARTYIN-28-D | 0.81% | 12.00% |
| GOVPARTYMO-28-D | 0.78% | 8.00% |
| GOVPARTYUT-28-D | 0.65% | 14.00% |
| GOVPARTYNH-28-D | 0.58% | 12.00% |
| GOVPARTYWV-28-D | 0.57% | 9.00% |
| GOVPARTYMT-28-D | 0.53% | 14.00% |
| GOVPARTYVT-28-D | 0.52% | 47.00% |
| GOVPARTYDE-28-D | 0.52% | 92.00% |
| GOVPARTYND-28-D | 0.52% | 13.00% |

See skill: /.well-known/agent-skills/read-index/SKILL.md