Misery Implied Index
Market-implied seasonally adjusted U-3 plus headline CPI-U year-over-year, in percentage points.
This index uses methodology-defined points, not a win probability. The 50–150 probability reading does not apply. See the methodology overview for how the level is built. The Governance catalog holds the formal methodology and factsheet.
Key facts
- Ticker
- MSRY
- Index id
- msry
- Methodology
- implied_level
- Latest published level
- 8.02 (as of 2026-10-09T17:42:00Z)
- Scale
- Methodology-defined points
- Calculating agent
- Adjacent
- Data access
- Public JSON API, no authentication, 15-minute delay
- API endpoint
- https://api.adjacent.markets/api/v1/public/indices/msry
Index data last published: 2026-10-09.
Live data: public JSON API (15-minute delayed, no auth).
Frequently asked questions
- What is the Misery Implied Index (MSRY)? Market-implied seasonally adjusted U-3 plus headline CPI-U year-over-year, in percentage points. MSRY is a rules-based index built from prediction-market event contracts and calculated by Adjacent, an independent index provider.
- How is MSRY calculated? Each Adjacent index follows a published methodology that defines its eligible universe, constituent selection, and weighting. Values are recomputed on the indexer’s scheduled compute cycle. Adjacent’s public data is served from a snapshot tier delayed by 15 minutes.
- How do I access MSRY data? MSRY is available from the public JSON API at /api/v1/public/indices/msry with no authentication required. Plans with higher rate limits, the MCP server, and embeddable widgets cover the same data.